H ere's where Tammy is located right now . Hurricane Tammy Aftermath Today ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced modestly because Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was at first anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) became a big and incredibly powerful hurricane that triggered massive damage and substantial death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as big locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies typhoon conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy need to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be a little weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the hurricane center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off hurricane cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island nations and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to typhoon expert Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists previously alerted hurricanes could form in uncommon areas later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe hazards and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy